| Benchmark | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month | YTD | 1 Year | 3 Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | +0.10% | -0.59% | +0.78% | +8.94% | +17.76% | +68.41% |
| QQQ | -1.12% | -1.60% | -3.71% | +11.64% | +21.68% | +83.79% |
| SPMO | -2.22% | +1.82% | -4.73% | +23.32% | +29.21% | +163.34% |
| Released On | Period Ending | Indicator | Type | Latest Value | Context (Macro & Quant) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | 2026-07-23 | Yield Curve Spread (10Y-3M) | Leading | +0.90% |
Most historically accurate predictor of recessions. Curve inversions signal economic weakness. We watch the 'uninversion' (steepening) phase. Recessions start when an inverted curve rapidly steepens. |
| 2026-07-24 | 2026-07-23 | Credit Spreads (High Yield OAS) | Leading | 2.77% |
High Yield spreads measure extra yield demanded for corporate risk. Spreads widen before equities crash. The bond market is the 'smart money'. This measures the exact price of systemic stress in real-time. |
| 2026-07-24 | 2026-07-24 | 5Y5Y Forward Inflation Exp | Leading | 2.28% |
Measures what the bond market believes inflation will average over a 5-year period starting 5 years from now. If this metric becomes unanchored, the Fed is forced to act aggressively, breaking the business cycle. |
| 2026-07-24 | 2026-06-01 | Building Permits | Leading | 1374k |
Housing has massive multiplier effects. Building Permits are a purer leading indicator than Housing Starts. Interest-rate sensitivity is highest here. Watch permits for structural trend reversals. |
| 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-18 | Initial Jobless Claims | Leading | 187k |
Jobless claims are high-frequency and leading, unlike the lagging headline unemployment rate. We track weekly shifts. A rolling 3-month decline signals labor deterioration before U3 reflects it. |
| 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-22 | Net System Liquidity | Leading | $5.92T |
Fed Balance Sheet - TGA - ON RRP. When liquidity rises, asset prices rise. When it falls, volatility spikes. The 'holy grail' formula for modern market liquidity. Tells us exactly how much 'fuel' is in the engine. |
| 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-17 | Chicago Fed NFCI | Coincident | -0.552 |
Composite of 105 financial variables. Negative = Loose/Expansionary; Positive = Tight/Restrictive. A single, smoothed pulse of whether the financial system is helping or hurting the real economy. |
| 2026-07-17 | 2026-06-01 | Industrial Production: Manufacturing | Leading | 98.7 |
Measures real output of U.S. manufacturing. A broad-based, direct pulse on industrial health. We track YoY momentum. Sustained declines below 95 Index signal manufacturing recession territory. |
| 2026-07-14 | 2026-06-01 | Core CPI (YoY) | Lagging | 2.8% |
Measures consumer inflation excluding volatile food and energy. The Fed's primary adversary. Readings structurally > 3.0% restrict the Fed's ability to supply liquidity during market drawdowns. |
| 2026-07-02 | 2026-06-01 | Headline Unemployment (U3) | Lagging | 4.2% |
The official unemployment rate. Note: It historically stays low even as a recession begins. Used as a lagging confirmation metric. Spikes in U3 usually happen after the recession has already started. |
| 2026-07-02 | 2026-06-01 | Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) | Coincident | +57K |
The headline number of jobs added to the US economy. Highly scrutinized by the Fed. Consistent numbers < 100K suggest a cooling labor market, raising rate cut probabilities. |
| 2026-06-26 | 2026-05-01 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | Coincident | 44.8 |
Consumer confidence drives spending, which is ~70% of GDP. A forward-looking pulse on household sentiment. Persistent declines below 70 signal consumer stress that eventually shows up in corporate earnings. |
| 2026-06-25 | 2026-01-01 | Real GDP (QoQ SAAR) | Lagging | +2.1% |
Headline measure of economic growth. Drives earnings expectations and overall market direction. |
| Sub-Industry | Ticker | Status | EMA200 Ext | RSI (5 / 14) | RS Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil & Gas Exploration | XOP | BULL | 11.2% | 69.4 / 66.4 | 65.9 |
| MLPs / Midstream Energy | AMLP | BULL | 7.0% | 80.5 / 67.6 | 63.7 |
| Natural Gas | FCG | CORRECTING | 5.8% | 78.3 / 63.9 | 62.6 |
| Pharmaceuticals | IHE | BULL EXTENDED | 15.6% | 65.2 / 61.7 | 62.3 |
| Banks (Large-Cap) | KBWB | BULL | 12.6% | 44.2 / 55.7 | 61.9 |
| Residential Real Estate | REZ | BULL | 10.2% | 65.5 / 62.8 | 61.7 |
| Insurance | KIE | BULL | 9.7% | 62.2 / 61.5 | 60.3 |
| Regional Banks | KRE | BULL | 10.2% | 51.0 / 56.0 | 59.2 |
| Aerospace & Defense | ITA | BULL | 7.2% | 73.4 / 56.8 | 59.2 |
| Regional Banks (KBW) | KBWR | NEUTRAL | 3.1% | 53.2 / 56.1 | 58.9 |
| Healthcare Providers | IHF | BULL | 13.3% | 47.8 / 56.7 | 58.6 |
| Infrastructure | PAVE | BULL | 7.7% | 68.9 / 53.5 | 58.4 |
| Industrial Real Estate | INDS | BULL | 5.6% | 47.8 / 56.3 | 57.6 |
| Transportation | IYT | BULL | 10.1% | 46.0 / 54.8 | 57.5 |
| Oil Services | OIH | CORRECTING | 5.0% | 68.3 / 54.1 | 56.4 |
| Biotechnology (Nasdaq) | IBB | BULL | 10.5% | 44.6 / 53.6 | 56.1 |
| Digital Payments | IPAY | NEUTRAL | -0.2% | 32.4 / 52.2 | 56.0 |
| Healthcare Technology & Innovation | HTEC | BULL | 8.6% | 43.4 / 52.9 | 55.7 |
| Broker-Dealers & Exchanges | IAI | BULL | 5.7% | 38.5 / 50.5 | 54.1 |
| China Internet | KWEB | SOLD | -12.3% | 41.1 / 50.3 | 52.6 |
| Medical Devices | IHI | SOLD | -7.3% | 50.6 / 49.6 | 51.5 |
| Retail | XRT | NEUTRAL | 3.0% | 37.7 / 48.2 | 51.5 |
| Food & Beverage | PBJ | NEUTRAL | -0.4% | 33.7 / 46.5 | 50.9 |
| FinTech | FINX | NEUTRAL | -4.9% | 37.2 / 47.9 | 50.7 |
| Biotech (Equal-Weight) | XBI | BULL EXTENDED | 15.6% | 33.5 / 48.2 | 50.4 |
| Copper Miners | COPX | NEUTRAL | 1.4% | 53.8 / 49.1 | 50.4 |
| Cybersecurity | CIBR | BULL EXTENDED | 15.2% | 31.2 / 46.9 | 49.2 |
| Gold Miners | GDX | SOLD | -9.8% | 56.6 / 47.4 | 48.7 |
| Junior Gold Miners | GDXJ | SOLD | -10.6% | 54.3 / 47.3 | 48.3 |
| Silver Miners | SIL | SOLD | -9.6% | 53.0 / 45.7 | 46.7 |
| Uranium Miners | URNM | SOLD | -13.7% | 57.6 / 44.6 | 46.0 |
| Airlines | JETS | BULL | 8.2% | 40.2 / 43.7 | 45.5 |
| Media & Gaming | PBS | NEUTRAL | 3.8% | 35.4 / 46.0 | 45.2 |
| Metals & Mining | XME | NEUTRAL | -4.9% | 58.4 / 43.5 | 45.0 |
| Cloud Computing (Infrastructure) | SKYY | NEUTRAL | 4.2% | 34.0 / 42.6 | 44.9 |
| Telecommunications | IYZ | NEUTRAL | 3.6% | 41.7 / 42.2 | 44.7 |
| Travel Tech | AWAY | NEUTRAL | -3.5% | 20.2 / 41.9 | 44.3 |
| Mortgage Real Estate | REM | NEUTRAL | -2.8% | 24.1 / 41.6 | 44.3 |
| Homebuilders | ITB | NEUTRAL | -3.5% | 31.1 / 42.0 | 44.1 |
| Social Media | SOCL | SOLD | -7.9% | 23.9 / 41.8 | 43.9 |
| Video Gaming & Esports | ESPO | SOLD | -6.1% | 15.2 / 39.0 | 43.9 |
| Uranium (Broad) | URA | SOLD | -13.3% | 57.9 / 42.7 | 43.6 |
| Cloud Computing (SaaS) | WCLD | NEUTRAL | 0.9% | 16.1 / 41.4 | 43.4 |
| Sports Betting & iGaming | BETZ | NEUTRAL | -4.3% | 23.8 / 39.6 | 42.1 |
| Semiconductors | SMH | BULL EXTENDED | 16.5% | 34.0 / 42.1 | 42.0 |
| Data Center Real Estate | SRVR | NEUTRAL | -4.8% | 52.3 / 36.6 | 41.8 |
| Video Games & Esports | HERO | SOLD | -9.7% | 16.6 / 36.3 | 41.2 |
| Digital Infrastructure & Real Estate | IGN | CORRECTING | 8.8% | 42.2 / 41.3 | 40.9 |
| Future Vehicles & Auto Tech | CARZ | CORRECTING | 8.5% | 35.9 / 40.5 | 40.1 |
| South Korea | EWY | CORRECTING | 9.1% | 34.9 / 39.5 | 39.9 |
| Software | IGV | SOLD | -5.2% | 25.3 / 38.8 | 39.7 |
| Artificial Intelligence | AIQ | NEUTRAL | 3.9% | 28.0 / 37.6 | 36.2 |
| Internet | FDN | NEUTRAL | -1.5% | 13.5 / 35.2 | 35.0 |
| Clean Energy (Global) | ICLN | SOLD | -5.9% | 22.9 / 32.9 | 31.2 |
| Solar | TAN | SOLD | -7.6% | 23.7 / 33.5 | 31.1 |
| Lithium & Battery Tech | LIT | SOLD | -7.0% | 29.9 / 31.0 | 30.3 |
| Rare Earth & Strategic Metals | REMX | SOLD | -18.6% | 22.9 / 26.2 | 24.4 |
| Sector | Ticker | Status | EMA200 Ext | RSI (5 / 14) | RS Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy | XLE | BULL | 10.6% | 90.6 / 70.5 | 68.3 |
| Financials | XLF | BULL | 7.1% | 61.2 / 63.4 | 66.2 |
| Industrials | XLI | BULL | 8.1% | 72.9 / 57.6 | 62.2 |
| Real Estate | XLRE | BULL | 6.4% | 77.1 / 62.6 | 61.4 |
| Healthcare | XLV | BULL | 7.7% | 65.4 / 59.9 | 60.1 |
| Utilities | XLU | NEUTRAL | 3.8% | 74.1 / 60.4 | 60.1 |
| Materials | XLB | NEUTRAL | 3.3% | 63.9 / 53.2 | 56.8 |
| Consumer Staples | XLP | NEUTRAL | 1.4% | 49.3 / 50.0 | 52.6 |
| Technology | XLK | BULL | 9.8% | 33.7 / 42.4 | 42.4 |
| Communications | XLC | SOLD | -5.6% | 26.2 / 37.2 | 38.9 |
| Consumer Discretionary | XLY | SOLD | -5.5% | 18.9 / 32.5 | 29.5 |
QuantOS Automated Reporting Engine | Generated end-of-day.